Hallador Energy Company Intrinsic Value

HNRG

Choose a model

Each card values Hallador Energy a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.

Earnings-$0.02 a shareEarnings is negative over the last 12 months, so it cannot be projected.

Free cash flow-$1.07 a shareFree cash flow is negative over the last 12 months, so it cannot be projected.

Discounted cash flowAdvancedFree cash flow is negative over the last 12 months, so there is nothing to discount.

Set your assumptions

Hallador Energy on revenue: sales per share grow and the stock trades at a normal price-to-sales multiple. For companies not yet profitable.

Years to project

Growth of revenue per share

Revenue per share; starts at its own recent growth

Exit P/S

Starts at its own median P/S over five years

Your desired return

Margin of safety

Your buy price

The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price

How it's worked out

Today's revenue per share
Last twelve months
$9.59
Revenue in 2031
Grows 6.1% a year for 5 years
$12.90
Price in 2031
$12.90 × 0.8 P/S
$10.32
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
$6.41
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
$6.41
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
$4.81

Paying $9.61 instead gives 1.4% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.

Outcome

What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.

Fair value

$6.41

Expected return

1.4% a year

Future price, 2031

$10.32

Buy below

$4.81

Price 50% above fair valuePrice $9.61, at your 10% return

Projection

Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.

Hallador Energy (HNRG) intrinsic value and fair value

The calculator grows one of Hallador Energy's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for HNRG; this is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Hallador Energy's (HNRG) intrinsic value?+

With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Hallador Energy's fair value is about $6.41 a share, based on its revenue per share. That assumes revenue per share of $9.59 grows about 6.1% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 0.8 times revenue, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.

Is Hallador Energy overvalued?+

At $9.61, the price is 50% above that fair value of $6.41, and buying at today's price would return about 1.4% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

What growth does the Hallador Energy valuation assume?+

Revenue per share grows about 6.1% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise). The exit multiple starts at its own median over five years.

What is a good margin of safety for Hallador Energy?+

A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at $4.81. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.

More on HNRG: Overview · Quality scorecard · Dividend safety · Financials

How the market compares: US profitability statistics

SourceFair value computed from the 10-Q filed 6 Aug 2026, covering the period ending 30 Jun 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 12 Oct 2026. How this is calculated.

Price from market data, last close as of 4 Nov 2026. Fiscal year ends Dec.

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Held by ETFs

HNRG is in 18 US ETFs. The largest of them, with HNRG's weight in each:

Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in HNRG's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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