Choose a model
Each card values Global Engine Group Holding a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.
Set your assumptions
Global Engine Group Holding on earnings: earnings per share grow for a few years, then the stock trades at a normal price-to-earnings multiple.
Years to project
Growth of earnings per share
Earnings per share; starts at its own recent growth
Exit P/E
Starts at its industry's median P/E
Your desired return
Margin of safety
More
Your buy price
The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price
How it's worked out
Today's earnings per share
Diluted EPS of HK$0.14 as filed, last twelve months, lowered to what operating profit after tax supports (one-off gains left out)
HK$0.14
Earnings in 2031
Grows 0.0% a year for 5 years
HK$0.14
Price in 2031
HK$0.14 × 20.9 P/E
HK$2.89
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
HK$1.80
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
HK$1.80
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
HK$1.35
Paying HK$20.87 instead gives -32.6% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.
Outcome
What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.
Fair value
HK$1.80
Expected return
-32.6% a year
Future price, 2031
HK$2.89
Buy below
HK$1.35
Price 1062% above fair valuePrice HK$20.87, at your 10% return
Projection
Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.
Build your own intrinsic value for Global Engine Group Holding. Start from three cases based on the company's own filings, then change any number to match your view.
The default base case is 98% below today's price. A gap that wide usually comes from unusual cash flow history, such as a jump from a low base or a gap in the reported figures, not from a real bargain or bubble. Check the free cash flow history below and set growth you believe before relying on it.
Conservative
HK$0.47
98% below the priceof HK$20.87
Buy below HK$0.35 for a 25% safety margin
Your assumptions
Base
HK$0.47
98% below the priceof HK$20.87
Buy below HK$0.35 for a 25% safety margin
Your assumptions
Optimistic
HK$0.47
98% below the priceof HK$20.87
Buy below HK$0.35 for a 25% safety margin
Your assumptions
Where today's price sits
Today's price falls outside the modelled range.
Verdict
Today's price sits above all three scenarios. Either the growth inputs are more cautious than the market's, or the price is ahead of the cash flows.
Base free cash flow
HK$1,810.00
Trailing twelve months
Historical FCF CAGR
-89.4%
Across 5 reported periods
Market implies
–
No solution in range
Terminal value share
59%
Of the base case valuation
Growth needed to justify today's price
No growth rate in the tested range reproduces today's price at these assumptions.
Curve holds terminal growth at 2.5%, years 6 to 10 at half the first-stage rate, and applies no safety margin.
Free cash flow history
The most recent period is the base every projection starts from. Compounded, that history is -89.4% a year.
Global Engine Group Holding (GLE) intrinsic value and fair value
The calculator grows one of Global Engine Group Holding's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for GLE; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Global Engine Group Holding's (GLE) intrinsic value?+
With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Global Engine Group Holding's fair value is about HK$1.80 a share, based on its earnings per share. That assumes earnings per share of HK$0.14 grows about 0.0% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 20.9 times earnings, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. On its other figures: free cash flow HK$0.00, revenue HK$62.88. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.
Is Global Engine Group Holding overvalued?+
At HK$20.87, the price is 1062% above that fair value of HK$1.80, and buying at today's price would return about -32.6% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.
What growth does the Global Engine Group Holding valuation assume?+
Earnings per share grows about 0.0% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise). The exit multiple starts at its industry's median.
What is a good margin of safety for Global Engine Group Holding?+
A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at HK$1.35. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.
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Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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