Gecina SA Intrinsic Value
GFC.XPAR
Choose a model
Each card values Gecina SA a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.
Set your assumptions
Gecina SA on ffo: funds from operations (net income plus depreciation), the cash a property trust's buildings produce, priced at a normal multiple.
Years to project
Growth of FFO per share
FFO per share; starts at its own recent growth
Exit P/FFO
Starts at its own median P/FFO over five years
Your desired return
Margin of safety
More
Your buy price
The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price
How it's worked out
Today's FFO per share
Last twelve months
€6.03
FFO in 2031
Grows 0.0% a year for 5 years
€6.03
Price in 2031
€6.03 × 12.5 P/FFO
€75.38
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
€46.81
Plus dividends
€27.50 paid over 5 years, discounted the same way
+ €20.85
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
€67.66
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
€50.74
Paying €65.45 instead gives 9.5% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.
Outcome
What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.
Fair value
€67.66
Expected return
9.5% a year
Future price, 2031
€75.38
Buy below
€50.74
Price 3% below fair valuePrice €65.45, at your 10% return
Projection
Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.
Gecina SA (GFC.XPAR) intrinsic value and fair value
The calculator grows one of Gecina SA's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for GFC.XPAR; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Gecina SA's (GFC.XPAR) intrinsic value?+
With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Gecina SA's fair value is about €67.66 a share, based on its FFO per share. That assumes FFO per share of €6.03 grows about 0.0% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 12.5 times FFO, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. On its other figures: earnings €72.14, revenue €77.29, book value €65.23, dividends €63.88. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.
Is Gecina SA overvalued?+
At €65.45, the price is 3% below that fair value of €67.66, and buying at today's price would return about 9.5% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.
What growth does the Gecina SA valuation assume?+
FFO per share grows about 0.0% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise). The exit multiple starts at its own median over five years.
What is a good margin of safety for Gecina SA?+
A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at €50.74. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.
Peers
REIT - Office · Pick stocks to compare with GFC.XPAR
Held by ETFs
GFC.XPAR is in 55 US ETFs. The largest of them, with GFC.XPAR's weight in each:
Spot a number that looks wrong?
Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)
Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
Keep analysing GFC.XPAR
A free account gives you 10 stocks a day, a watchlist and price alerts.
Already have an account?
Or come back tomorrow. Stocks on your watchlist are always free to view.