Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF values Goodwin (GDWN.XLON) at about £279.84 per share, or £209.88 with a 25% margin of safety. Every assumption is adjustable below; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage discounted cash flow (DCF) model estimates an intrinsic value of about £279.84 per share for GDWN.XLON. It projects recent free cash flow forward at a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate, then discounts those cash flows back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around £209.88. The output moves with the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best read as a range, not a single number. You can change every assumption with the sliders on this tab.
The base case grows GDWN.XLON's free cash flow at about 20.0% a year before fading, against roughly 41.7% historical free-cash-flow growth. If the price implies growth well above what the company has actually delivered, the market is paying for optimism; if below, expectations are modest. Adjust the growth assumption on this tab to see what the current price is really betting on.
A margin of safety is the discount to intrinsic value you demand before buying, to protect against being wrong on the inputs. Intrinsiqq applies 25% by default, which turns GDWN.XLON's £279.84 intrinsic estimate into a £209.88 entry. Wider margins suit less predictable businesses; you can set your own on this tab. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.