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Forestar Group Inc. is a national, well-capitalized residential lot development company focused primarily on making investments in land acquisition and development to sell finished single-family residential lots to homebuilders. Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the NYSE Texas under the ticker symbol "FOR." The listing and trading of the Common Stock …
$28.36
$1.54 (-5.15%)
Live · 05:18 PM
Net margin is thin at 10.10%. This may reflect rising credit costs, rate compression, or operational inefficiency.
Revenue grew 10.1% YoY. However, net income declined 17%, rising credit provisions or expenses may be eating into the top line.
Net income declined 17% YoY, profitability momentum has weakened.
7.9x earnings. Below the sector average, the market may be pricing in credit losses or regulatory headwinds, or there's genuine value here.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$1.79B
▲ +10.1% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$184M
▼ -17.5% YoY
Net Margin
10.27%
P/E
7.9x
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
$3.17B
Equity
$1.82B
Total Debt
$810M
Cash & Equiv.
$362M
5Y CAGR: +12.3%
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At a P/E of 7.9 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 3.6, Forestar Group (FOR) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $387.31 per share, so at $28.36 the stock looks undervalued (1,265.7% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Forestar Group scores 49/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a mixed business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $387.31 per share for FOR, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $290.48. At today's $28.36, that puts the stock about 1,265.7% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Forestar Group scores 49 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 6 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a mixed business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 13.0% operating margin and a 6.8% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. FOR currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 49/100 on quality (mixed). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.