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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$132.09
Intrinsic $176.12 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for FGI Industries Ltd. (FGI) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 73.2% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $7M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $176.12 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $132.09.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$7M
Cash & equivalents
$3M
Total debt
$24M
Shares outstanding
2M