Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
€164.23
Intrinsic €218.97 · 25% MOS
Current price: €62.70
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Evolution AB (EVO.XSTO) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 15.5% for years 1–5 and 7.8% for years 6–10, anchored to 15.5% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from €1.1B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of €218.97 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of €164.23, suggesting the stock is currently 162% undervalued against the €62.70 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
€1.1B
Cash & equivalents
€818M
Total debt
€91M
Shares outstanding
199M