Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
€11.47
Intrinsic €15.29 · 25% MOS
Current price: €17.90
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Ebro Foods, S.A. (EBRO.XMAD) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from €149M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of €15.29 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of €11.47, suggesting the stock is currently 36% overvalued against the €17.90 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
€149M
Cash & equivalents
€301M
Total debt
€526M
Shares outstanding
154M