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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$52.41
Intrinsic $69.88 · 25% MOS
Current price: $24.93
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 32.3% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $714M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $69.88 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $52.41, suggesting the stock is currently 110% undervalued against the $24.93 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$714M
Cash & equivalents
$999M
Total debt
$1.3B
Shares outstanding
511M