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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$71.26
Intrinsic $95.01 · 25% MOS
Current price: $30.18
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 38.5% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $28M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $95.01 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $71.26, suggesting the stock is currently 136% undervalued against the $30.18 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$28M
Cash & equivalents
$126M
Total debt
$3M
Shares outstanding
16M