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Petroleum refining company · DE · FY ends Dec · Revenue $58.19B · 59.80% margin
$114.71
+$1.87 (+1.66%)
EOD Jul 17, 2026
Margins and capital returns are both well above average: 60.48% operating margin, ROIC at 34.28%. Consistent with durable pricing power, though that alone doesn't make it a buy.
Revenue grew 7.7%, steady but not accelerating.
Even for strong businesses, today's 19x P/E means the stock needs to keep delivering. There's no margin of safety if growth disappoints.
19.4x earnings. Valuation is in a reasonable range. The main question is whether the business can re-accelerate or if current trajectory is already priced in.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$58.19B
▲ +7.7% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$7.32B
▼ -13.6% YoY
Op. Margin
59.80%
▼ -0.7pp YoY
ROIC
34.43%
▼ -1.8pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF
N/A
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$17.98B
▼ -1.6% YoY
Net Debt
$16.96B
Cash & Equiv.
$6.36B
5Y CAGR: +25.7%
5Y CAGR: +48.8%
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At a P/E of 19.4, ConocoPhillips (COP) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $734.28 per share, so at $114.71 the stock looks undervalued (540.1% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, ConocoPhillips scores 44/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a mixed business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 2.9%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $734.28 per share for COP, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $550.71. At today's $114.71, that puts the stock about 540.1% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
ConocoPhillips scores 44 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 6 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a mixed business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 59.8% operating margin and a 34.4% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
Yes, ConocoPhillips pays a regular dividend of about $3.29 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 2.9% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 55.0% of earnings, so the dividend is well covered. ConocoPhillips has grown the dividend at roughly 14.1% a year over the past few years. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For COP's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. COP currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 44/100 on quality (mixed). It also yields about 2.9%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.