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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$32.96
Intrinsic $43.94 · 25% MOS
Current price: $32.65
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Copt Defense Properties (CDP) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 7.5% for years 1–5 and 3.8% for years 6–10, anchored to 7.5% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $314M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $43.94 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $32.96, suggesting the stock is currently 1% undervalued against the $32.65 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$314M
Cash & equivalents
$29M
Total debt
$2.6B
Shares outstanding
114M