Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
€449.85
Intrinsic €599.80 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for BNP Paribas S.A. (BNP.XPAR) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 1.8% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from the 3-year average of positive free cash flow (€42.2B) — TTM FCF was negative, this produces an intrinsic value of €599.80 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of €449.85.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
TTM FCF is negative (€0). Projecting from a negative base produces nonsensical results, so this model uses the 3-year average of positive FCF (€42.2B) as the base instead. Treat this valuation as a rough estimate — it assumes a return to historical profitability.
Model inputs
Free Cash Flow (3yr avg)
€42.2B
Cash & equivalents
€327.0B
Total debt
€398.5B
Shares outstanding
1.1B