Burckhardt Compression Holding AG (BCHN.XSWX) DCF Valuation
Every assumption below is yours to change. The defaults are derived from this company's own filing history, not from a house view.
Conservative
CHF 493.61
2% undervaluedvs CHF 483.00
Base
CHF 561.17
16% undervaluedvs CHF 483.00
Optimistic
CHF 632.82
31% undervaluedvs CHF 483.00
Where today's price sits
Today's price falls outside the modelled range.
Verdict
Today's price sits below all three scenarios. Under these assumptions the stock looks undervalued, which is only as reliable as the growth rates you have entered.
Base free cash flow
CHF 127M
Trailing twelve months
Historical FCF CAGR
+2.5%
Across 6 reported periods
Market implies
-5.7%
Growth needed at 8% WACC
Terminal value share
58%
Of the base case valuation
Growth needed to justify today's price
At a 8.0% discount rate, today's price already assumes -5.7% annual free cash flow growth for ten years. Your base case assumes 2.5%, so you are forecasting more growth than the price requires.
Curve holds terminal growth at 2.5%, years 6 to 10 at half the first-stage rate, and applies no safety margin.
Free cash flow history
The most recent period is the base every projection starts from. Compounded, that history is +2.5% a year.
Burckhardt Compression Holding (BCHN.XSWX) DCF: intrinsic value and margin of safety
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF values Burckhardt Compression Holding (BCHN.XSWX) at about CHF 747.10 per share, or CHF 560.32 with a 25% margin of safety. At CHF 483.00 the stock looks undervalued. Every assumption is adjustable below; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Burckhardt Compression Holding's (BCHN.XSWX) fair value?+
Intrinsiqq's two-stage discounted cash flow (DCF) model estimates an intrinsic value of about CHF 747.10 per share for BCHN.XSWX. It projects recent free cash flow forward at a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate, then discounts those cash flows back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around CHF 560.32. The output moves with the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best read as a range, not a single number. You can change every assumption with the sliders on this tab.
Is Burckhardt Compression Holding overvalued based on a DCF?+
At CHF 483.00, BCHN.XSWX trades below the base-case intrinsic value of about CHF 747.10, a 54.7% discount to that estimate, so on this model it looks undervalued. A DCF is only one lens: a premium can be justified if the business grows faster or is higher quality than the base case assumes, which is exactly what the sliders let you test.
What growth is priced into Burckhardt Compression Holding?+
The base case grows BCHN.XSWX's free cash flow at about 2.5% a year before fading, against roughly 2.5% historical free-cash-flow growth. If the price implies growth well above what the company has actually delivered, the market is paying for optimism; if below, expectations are modest. Adjust the growth assumption on this tab to see what the current price is really betting on.
What is a good margin of safety for Burckhardt Compression Holding?+
A margin of safety is the discount to intrinsic value you demand before buying, to protect against being wrong on the inputs. Intrinsiqq applies 25% by default, which turns BCHN.XSWX's CHF 747.10 intrinsic estimate into a CHF 560.32 entry. Wider margins suit less predictable businesses; you can set your own on this tab. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.
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Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.