DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$48.42
Intrinsic $64.57 · 25% MOS
Current price: $76.84
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Atkore Inc. (ATKR) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $145M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $64.57 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $48.42, suggesting the stock is currently 37% overvalued against the $76.84 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$145M
Cash & equivalents
$442M
Total debt
$761M
Shares outstanding
34M