Choose a model
Each card values Alpha Technology Group a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.
Set your assumptions
Alpha Technology Group on revenue: sales per share grow and the stock trades at a normal price-to-sales multiple. For companies not yet profitable.
Years to project
Growth of revenue per share
Revenue per share; starts at its own recent growth
Exit P/S
Starts at its own median P/S over five years
Your desired return
Margin of safety
More
Your buy price
The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price
How it's worked out
Today's revenue per share
Last twelve months
HK$0.49
Revenue in 2031
Grows 18.7% a year for 5 years
HK$1.16
Price in 2031
HK$1.16 × 15.0 P/S
HK$17.43
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
HK$10.82
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
HK$10.82
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
HK$8.12
Paying HK$75.32 instead gives -25.4% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.
Outcome
What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.
Fair value
HK$10.82
Expected return
-25.4% a year
Future price, 2031
HK$17.43
Buy below
HK$8.12
Price 596% above fair valuePrice HK$75.32, at your 10% return
Projection
Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.
Alpha Technology Group (ATGL) intrinsic value and fair value
The calculator grows one of Alpha Technology Group's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for ATGL; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Alpha Technology Group's (ATGL) intrinsic value?+
With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Alpha Technology Group's fair value is about HK$10.82 a share, based on its revenue per share. That assumes revenue per share of HK$0.49 grows about 18.7% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 15.0 times revenue, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.
Is Alpha Technology Group overvalued?+
At HK$75.32, the price is 596% above that fair value of HK$10.82, and buying at today's price would return about -25.4% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from company filings, not investment advice.
What growth does the Alpha Technology Group valuation assume?+
Revenue per share grows about 18.7% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise). The exit multiple starts at its own median over five years.
What is a good margin of safety for Alpha Technology Group?+
A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at HK$8.12. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.
Peers
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Data sourced from company filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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