Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
Not financial advice. Analytical data for research only.
Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.
Arko Petroleum Corp. is a growth-oriented fuel distribution company and one of the largest wholesale fuel distributors by gallons sold in North America. Headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, it specializes in the wholesale distribution of motor fuel to ARKO retail sites, third-party dealers under long-term contracts, and fleet fueling locations across more than 30 U.S. states, including the Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, Northeast, Southeast, and Southwest regions. The company operates through key segments such as wholesale, fleet fueling, and GPM Petroleum, delivering over 2.1 billion gallons of fuel annually to independent dealers, consignment agents, commercial fleets, and more than 1,100 ARKO convenience stores like Fas Mart and E-Z Mart, as well as over 2,000 third-party gas stations. As a subsidiary of ARKO Corp., it maintains strong supplier relationships, established logistics infrastructure, and predictable cash flows tied to fuel throughput, with limited exposure to retail consumer trends. Recently completing its initial public offering, Arko Petroleum Corp. focuses on high-volume distribution, debt reduction, and operational efficiency, playing a vital role in the U.S. fuel supply chain by ensuring consistent supply to diverse customers.
$19.16
$0.65 (-3.26%)
Live · 03:56 PM
Operating margin is thin at 1.50%. Limited cushion if revenue slows or costs rise, not the profile of a wide-moat business.
Revenue declined 12.4% YoY. The question is whether this is cyclical or a structural shift.
At 27x earnings, the current multiple leaves limited room for execution misses or growth deceleration. Free cash flow declined 43% versus the prior year, cash generation momentum has weakened.
27.0x earnings, 14.4x FCF. Not cheap, the quality is already reflected in the price. Upside from here requires either margin expansion or growth re-acceleration, not just continuation.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (FY)
$5.58B
▼ -12.4% YoY
Net Income (FY)
$33M
▼ -18.6% YoY
Op. Margin
1.50%
ROIC
7.28%
▼ -1.5pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (FY)
$55M
▼ -42.7% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (FY)
$80M
▼ -24.1% YoY
Net Debt
$932M
Cash & Equiv.
$16M
3Y CAGR: -7.6%
3Y CAGR: -4.4%
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At a P/E of 27.0 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 14.4, Arko Petroleum (APC) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $0.38 per share, so at $19.16 the stock looks overvalued (98.0% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Arko Petroleum scores 40/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a mixed business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $0.38 per share for APC, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $0.29. At today's $19.16, that puts the stock about 98.0% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Arko Petroleum scores 40 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a mixed business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 1.5% operating margin and a 7.3% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. APC currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 40/100 on quality (mixed). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.