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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$57.13
Intrinsic $76.17 · 25% MOS
Current price: $23.23
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 42.0% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $439M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $76.17 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $57.13, suggesting the stock is currently 146% undervalued against the $23.23 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$439M
Cash & equivalents
$428M
Total debt
$3.9B
Shares outstanding
245M