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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$151.42
Intrinsic $201.89 · 25% MOS
Current price: $231.27
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Ametek Inc (AME) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 10.2% for years 1–5 and 5.1% for years 6–10, anchored to 10.2% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $1.7B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $201.89 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $151.42, suggesting the stock is currently 35% overvalued against the $231.27 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$1.7B
Cash & equivalents
$481M
Total debt
$2.5B
Shares outstanding
230M