Choose a model
Each card values AMC Networks a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.
Set your assumptions
AMC Networks on free cash flow: free cash flow per share, the cash left after investment, grows and is priced at a normal multiple.
Years to project
Growth of free cash flow per share
Free cash flow per share; starts at its own recent growth
Exit P/FCF
Starts at its own median P/FCF over five years
Your desired return
Margin of safety
More
Your buy price
The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price
How it's worked out
Today's free cash flow per share
Last twelve months
$4.43
Free cash flow in 2031
Grows 0.0% a year for 5 years
$4.43
Price in 2031
$4.43 × 5.0 P/FCF
$22.15
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
$13.75
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
$13.75
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
$10.31
Paying $8.46 instead gives 21.2% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.
Outcome
What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.
Fair value
$13.75
Expected return
21.2% a year
Future price, 2031
$22.15
Buy below
$10.31
Price 38% below fair valuePrice $8.46, at your 10% return
Projection
Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.
Build your own intrinsic value for AMC Networks Inc. Start from three cases based on the company's own filings, then change any number to match your view.
The default base case is 16× today's price. A gap that wide usually comes from unusual cash flow history, such as a jump from a low base or a gap in the reported figures, not from a real bargain or bubble. Check the free cash flow history below and set growth you believe before relying on it.
Conservative
$62.50
639% above the priceof $8.46
Buy below $46.87 for a 25% safety margin
Your assumptions
Base
$131.32
1452% above the priceof $8.46
Buy below $98.49 for a 25% safety margin
Your assumptions
Optimistic
$228.29
2599% above the priceof $8.46
Buy below $171.22 for a 25% safety margin
Your assumptions
Where today's price sits
Today's price falls outside the modelled range.
Verdict
Today's price sits below all three scenarios. That reading is only as reliable as the growth rates entered.
Base free cash flow
$191M
Trailing twelve months
Historical FCF CAGR
+13.6%
Across 6 reported periods
Market implies
-10.0%
Growth needed at 8% WACC
Terminal value share
66%
Of the base case valuation
Growth needed to justify today's price
At a 8.0% discount rate, today's price already assumes -10.0% annual free cash flow growth for ten years. Your base case assumes 13.6%, so you are forecasting more growth than the price requires.
Curve holds terminal growth at 2.5%, years 6 to 10 at half the first-stage rate, and applies no safety margin.
Free cash flow history
The most recent period is the base every projection starts from. Compounded, that history is +13.6% a year.
AMC Networks (AMCX) intrinsic value and fair value
The calculator grows one of AMC Networks's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for AMCX; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is AMC Networks's (AMCX) intrinsic value?+
With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, AMC Networks's fair value is about $13.75 a share, based on its free cash flow per share. That assumes free cash flow per share of $4.43 grows about 0.0% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 5.0 times free cash flow, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. On its other figures: revenue $16.21. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.
Is AMC Networks overvalued?+
At $8.46, the price is 38% below that fair value of $13.75, and buying at today's price would return about 21.2% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.
What growth does the AMC Networks valuation assume?+
Free cash flow per share grows about 0.0% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise). The exit multiple starts at its own median over five years.
What is a good margin of safety for AMC Networks?+
A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at $10.31. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.
SourceFair value computed from the 10-Q filed 30 Jul 2026, covering the period ending 30 Jun 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 12 Oct 2026. How this is calculated.
Price from market data, last close as of 4 Nov 2026. Fiscal year ends Dec.
Peers
Cable & Other Pay Television Services · Pick stocks to compare with AMCX
Held by ETFs
AMCX is in 27 US ETFs. The largest of them, with AMCX's weight in each:
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETFAVUV0.05%of the fund
iShares Russell 2000 Value ETFIWN0.02%of the fund
Schwab Fundamental U.S. Small Company ETFFNDA0.04%of the fund
Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETFDFSV0.03%of the fund
Vanguard Communication Services ETFVOX0.02%of the fund
iShares U.S. Small-Cap Equity Factor ETFSMLF0.06%of the fund
Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in AMCX's SEC filings or
Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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