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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$12.98
Intrinsic $17.30 · 25% MOS
Current price: $15.89
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Alkami Technology, Inc. (ALKT) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 54.2% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $41M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $17.30 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $12.98, suggesting the stock is currently 18% overvalued against the $15.89 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$41M
Cash & equivalents
$63M
Total debt
$354M
Shares outstanding
104M