DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$10.17
Intrinsic $13.56 · 25% MOS
Current price: $0.60
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Alight, Inc. (ALIT) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 13.7% for years 1–5 and 6.9% for years 6–10, anchored to 13.7% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $259M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $13.56 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $10.17, suggesting the stock is currently 1609% undervalued against the $0.60 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$259M
Cash & equivalents
$178M
Total debt
$2.1B
Shares outstanding
525M