Choose a model
Each card values Ares Commercial Real Estate a different way, shown at our starting inputs. Pick one to see and change how it works.
Set your assumptions
Ares Commercial Real Estate on ffo: funds from operations (net income plus depreciation), the cash a property trust's buildings produce, priced at a normal multiple.
Years to project
Growth of FFO per share
FFO per share; starts at its own recent growth
Exit P/FFO
No history to start from; set your own
Your desired return
Margin of safety
More
Your buy price
The expected return is measured from it; starts at today's price
How it's worked out
Today's FFO per share
Last twelve months
$0.02
FFO in 2031
Grows 0.0% a year for 5 years
$0.02
Price in 2031
$0.02 × 15.0 P/FFO
$0.28
Worth today
÷ 1.10^5: your 10% a year, taken back out
$0.18
Plus dividends
$3.01 paid over 5 years, discounted the same way
+ $2.28
Fair value
The most you can pay and still earn 10% a year
$2.46
Buy below
Fair value minus your 25% margin of safety
$1.84
Paying $3.51 instead gives -1.3% a year. Every rule is on the methodology page.
Outcome
What your assumptions give, and the path from today's price.
Fair value
$2.46
Expected return
-1.3% a year
Future price, 2031
$0.28
Buy below
$1.84
Price 43% above fair valuePrice $3.51, at your 10% return
Projection
Solid blue: the price at each year end. Dashed blue: from today's price to the 2031 price. Green: from the fair value, rising at your 10% a year to the same end point; buy at or below it and you earn at least that. Every rule is on the methodology page. A model, not a forecast or advice.
Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) intrinsic value and fair value
The calculator grows one of Ares Commercial Real Estate's per-share figures (earnings, free cash flow, revenue, book value or dividends) for a few years, puts an exit multiple on it, and discounts the result back at the yearly return you want. The answers below use its starting inputs for ACRE; this is analysis, not investment advice.
Frequently asked
What is Ares Commercial Real Estate's (ACRE) intrinsic value?+
With Intrinsiqq's starting inputs, Ares Commercial Real Estate's fair value is about $2.46 a share, based on its FFO per share. That assumes FFO per share of $0.02 grows about 0.0% a year for 5 years, the stock then trades at 15.0 times FFO, and you want a 10.0% yearly return. On its other figures: free cash flow $3.87, revenue $6.10, book value $6.12, dividends $6.02. Every input can be changed on the page; the result is a model, not a forecast.
Is Ares Commercial Real Estate overvalued?+
At $3.51, the price is 43% above that fair value of $2.46, and buying at today's price would return about -1.3% a year if those inputs hold. Whether that is cheap or dear depends on whether you believe the growth and the exit multiple, which is what the calculator lets you test. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.
What growth does the Ares Commercial Real Estate valuation assume?+
FFO per share grows about 0.0% a year to start, its own recent growth per share (three years for a company not yet profitable, five otherwise). The exit multiple starts at a default.
What is a good margin of safety for Ares Commercial Real Estate?+
A margin of safety is the cushion you want below the fair value before buying, in case the inputs are wrong. The calculator uses 25%, which puts the buy-below price at $1.84. Less predictable businesses deserve a wider cushion, or a higher desired return.
SourceFair value computed from the 10-Q filed 30 Jul 2026, covering the period ending 30 Jun 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 3 Oct 2026. How this is calculated.
Price from market data, last close as of 4 Nov 2026.
Peers
Real Estate Investment Trusts · Pick stocks to compare with ACRE
Held by ETFs
ACRE is in 6 US ETFs. The largest of them, with ACRE's weight in each:
Vanguard Financials Index Fund ETF SharesVFH0.00%of the fund
iShares Micro-Cap ETFIWC0.04%of the fund
VanEck Mortgage REIT Income ETFMORT0.68%of the fund
- RIHoya Capital High Dividend Yield ETFRIET1.13%of the fund
Franklin U.S. Small Cap Multifactor Index ETFFLQS0.03%of the fund
Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in ACRE's SEC filings or
Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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