Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
€30.39
Intrinsic €40.53 · 25% MOS
Current price: €23.52
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Vestas Wind Systems A/S (VWS.XCSE) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 46.1% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from €800M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of €40.53 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of €30.39, suggesting the stock is currently 29% undervalued against the €23.52 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
€800M
Cash & equivalents
€4.5B
Total debt
€3.4B
Shares outstanding
1.0B