DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$2960330612.83
Intrinsic $3947107483.77 · 25% MOS
Current price: $25.53
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 6.6% for years 1–5 and 3.3% for years 6–10, anchored to 6.6% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $303M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $3947107483.77 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $2960330612.83, suggesting the stock is currently 11595497796% undervalued against the $25.53 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$303M
Cash & equivalents
$15M
Total debt
$3.0B
Shares outstanding
—