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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$176.80
Intrinsic $235.74 · 25% MOS
Current price: $71.64
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Uber Technologies, Inc (UBER) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 123.9% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $9.8B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $235.74 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $176.80, suggesting the stock is currently 147% undervalued against the $71.64 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$9.8B
Cash & equivalents
$6.1B
Total debt
$12.4B
Shares outstanding
2.1B