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Trex Company, Inc. (Trex, Company, we, us or our), was incorporated as a Delaware corporation in 1998. The Company is the world s largest manufacturer of composite decking and railing products, which are marketed under the brand name Trex and manufactured in the United States.
$45.13
$0.68 (-1.48%)
EOD Jul 17, 2026
Margins and capital returns are both well above average: 21.97% operating margin, ROIC at 19.13%. Consistent with durable pricing power, though that alone doesn't make it a buy.
Revenue growth slowed to 2.0%, essentially flat. Margins also contracted 6.0pp. This is a business that needs a catalyst.
At 25x earnings, the current multiple leaves limited room for execution misses or growth deceleration. ROIC dropped from 28.97% to 19.13%, capital efficiency is deteriorating.
25.1x earnings, 20.9x FCF. Not cheap, the quality is already reflected in the price. Upside from here requires either margin expansion or growth re-acceleration, not just continuation.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$1.18B
▲ +2.0% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$191M
▼ -20.1% YoY
Op. Margin
22.06%
▼ -6.0pp YoY
ROIC
17.94%
▼ -9.8pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$226M
▲ +252.2% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$394M
▲ +148.8% YoY
Net Debt
$48M
Cash & Equiv.
$4M
5Y CAGR: +5.9%
5Y CAGR: +56.2%
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At a P/E of 25.1 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 20.9, Trex Company (TREX) trades below a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $96.97 per share, so at $45.13 the stock looks undervalued (114.9% below estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Trex Company scores 63/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a solid business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $96.97 per share for TREX, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $72.73. At today's $45.13, that puts the stock about 114.9% below estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Trex Company scores 63 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a solid business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 22.1% operating margin and a 17.9% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. TREX currently trades below its estimated intrinsic value and scores 63/100 on quality (solid). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.