Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
€1.20
Intrinsic €1.60 · 25% MOS
Current price: €0.41
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Tesmec S.p.A. (TES.XMIL) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 63.3% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from €22M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of €1.60 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of €1.20, suggesting the stock is currently 194% undervalued against the €0.41 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
€22M
Cash & equivalents
€41M
Total debt
€193M
Shares outstanding
602M