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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$18.84
Intrinsic $25.12 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Transocean Ltd. (RIG) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 16.7% for years 1–5 and 8.4% for years 6–10, anchored to 16.7% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $796M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $25.12 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $18.84.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$796M
Cash & equivalents
$330M
Total debt
$5.3B
Shares outstanding
1.1B