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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$82.58
Intrinsic $110.10 · 25% MOS
Current price: $51.53
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Roblox Corp (RBLX) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 21.9% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $1.5B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $110.10 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $82.58, suggesting the stock is currently 60% undervalued against the $51.53 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$1.5B
Cash & equivalents
$3.2B
Total debt
$1.8B
Shares outstanding
712M