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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$39.84
Intrinsic $53.12 · 25% MOS
Current price: $23.89
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Postal Realty Trust, Inc. (PSTL) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 19.6% for years 1–5 and 9.8% for years 6–10, anchored to 19.6% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $37M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $53.12 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $39.84, suggesting the stock is currently 67% undervalued against the $23.89 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$37M
Cash & equivalents
$1M
Total debt
$388M
Shares outstanding
27M