Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
€2.48
Intrinsic €3.31 · 25% MOS
Current price: €2.69
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad, S.A. (PSG.XMAD) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from €176M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of €3.31 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of €2.48, suggesting the stock is currently 8% overvalued against the €2.69 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
€176M
Cash & equivalents
€1.2B
Total debt
€2.5B
Shares outstanding
533M