Intrinsiqq
Douglas Dynamics Inc. logoDouglas Dynamics Inc.PLOW
$39.54-0.30%
Douglas Dynamics Inc. logo

Douglas Dynamics Inc.

PLOW

$39.54

-$0.12 (-0.30%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilitySolid marginsGrowthAcceleratingCash FlowHealthy conversionValuationFairly valued
What stands out

11.22% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 11.93%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.

What's changing

Revenue grew 15.4%, still solid. Margins contracted 4.4pp, which offsets some of the top-line progress.

What deserves caution

ROIC dropped from 14.51% to 11.93%, capital efficiency is deteriorating. Operating margin contracted 4.4pp YoY, cost discipline may be slipping.

Valuation context

18.0x earnings, 18.5x FCF. Valuation is in a reasonable range. The main question is whether the business can re-accelerate or if current trajectory is already priced in.

Price History

+29.8%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$912M
EPS$2.20
P/E17.97
P/FCF18.54
EV/EBITDA11.51
FCF Yield5.4%
Div. Yield3.09%
Net Debt/FCF3.1x
52-Week Range
$29.61$54.20

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$699M

▲ +15.4% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

$53M

▼ -16.5% YoY

Op. Margin

11.05%

▼ -4.4pp YoY

ROIC

14.01%

▼ -2.6pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

$49M

▲ +91.4% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

$62M

▲ +81.6% YoY

Net Debt

$152M

Cash & Equiv.

$2M

5Y CAGR: +6.4%

5Y CAGR: +10.5%

Continue Research

SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 3 Aug 2026, covering the period ending 30 Jun 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 28 Sept 2026. How this is calculated.

Price from market data, last close as of 16 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Dec. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.

Is Douglas Dynamics (PLOW) overvalued?

At a P/E of 18.0 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 18.5, Douglas Dynamics (PLOW) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $29.69 per share, so at $39.54 the stock looks overvalued (24.9% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Douglas Dynamics scores 68/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a solid business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. It currently yields about 3.1%; see dividend safety for coverage and history. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Douglas Dynamics's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $29.69 per share for PLOW, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $22.27. At today's $39.54, that puts the stock about 24.9% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Douglas Dynamics a high-quality business?+

Douglas Dynamics scores 68 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a solid business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 11.0% operating margin and a 14.0% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Does Douglas Dynamics (PLOW) pay a dividend, and how much?+

Yes, Douglas Dynamics pays a regular dividend of about $1.20 per share per year (typically in quarterly installments), a yield of roughly 3.1% at the current price. That is a payout ratio of about 53.7% of earnings, so the dividend is well covered. Douglas Dynamics has grown the dividend at roughly 1.3% a year over the past few years. A low headline yield is not the same as a weak dividend: what matters is how well earnings and free cash flow cover the payout and whether it is growing, not the percentage alone. For PLOW's full payout history, growth streak and dividend-safety score, see the dividends tab.

Is Douglas Dynamics a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. PLOW currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 68/100 on quality (solid). It also yields about 3.1%. A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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