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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$211.24
Intrinsic $281.66 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Penumbra Inc (PEN) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 37.3% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $213M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $281.66 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $211.24.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$213M
Cash & equivalents
$616M
Total debt
$216M
Shares outstanding
40M