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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$47.16
Intrinsic $62.87 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Plains Gp Holdings LP (PAGP) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 4.7% for years 1–5 and 2.4% for years 6–10, anchored to 4.7% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $2.1B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $62.87 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $47.16.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$2.1B
Cash & equivalents
$172M
Total debt
$1.7B
Shares outstanding
650M