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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$1.27
Intrinsic $1.69 · 25% MOS
Current price: $9.39
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for MeiraGTx Holdings plc (MGTX) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 8.0% for years 1–5 and 4.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $4M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $1.69 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $1.27, suggesting the stock is currently 87% overvalued against the $9.39 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$4M
Cash & equivalents
$72M
Total debt
$38M
Shares outstanding
81M