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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$0.44
Intrinsic $0.59 · 25% MOS
Current price: $1.52
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Marchex Inc (MCHX) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 8.0% for years 1–5 and 4.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $700000 in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $0.59 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $0.44, suggesting the stock is currently 71% overvalued against the $1.52 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$700000
Cash & equivalents
$9M
Total debt
$678000
Shares outstanding
44M