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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$13.99
Intrinsic $18.65 · 25% MOS
Current price: $25.35
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Lsi Industries Inc (LYTS) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 7.9% for years 1–5 and 4.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 7.9% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $38M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $18.65 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $13.99, suggesting the stock is currently 45% overvalued against the $25.35 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$38M
Cash & equivalents
$10M
Total debt
$314M
Shares outstanding
34M