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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$99.46
Intrinsic $132.61 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 7.9% for years 1–5 and 4.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 7.9% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $2.2B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $132.61 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $99.46.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$2.2B
Cash & equivalents
$1.3B
Total debt
$27.8B
Shares outstanding
211M