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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$17.00
Intrinsic $22.66 · 25% MOS
Current price: $9.35
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 4.9% for years 1–5 and 2.5% for years 6–10, anchored to 4.9% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $167M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $22.66 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $17.00, suggesting the stock is currently 82% undervalued against the $9.35 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$167M
Cash & equivalents
$501M
Total debt
$626M
Shares outstanding
147M