Related stocks: Pipe Lines (No Natural Gas)
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
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Related stocks: Pipe Lines (No Natural Gas)
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$35.72
Intrinsic $47.62 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Genesis Energy LP (GEL) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 37.3% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $178M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $47.62 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $35.72.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$178M
Cash & equivalents
$4M
Total debt
$3.2B
Shares outstanding
122M