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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$162.61
Intrinsic $216.82 · 25% MOS
Current price: $210.58
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Davita Inc. (DVA) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 3.0% for years 1–5 and 1.5% for years 6–10, anchored to 3.0% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $1.5B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $216.82 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $162.61, suggesting the stock is currently 23% overvalued against the $210.58 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$1.5B
Cash & equivalents
$667M
Total debt
$13.2B
Shares outstanding
69M