Related stocks: Services-Prepackaged Software
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
Related stocks: Services-Prepackaged Software
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$339.29
Intrinsic $452.38 · 25% MOS
Current price: $125.56
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 136.8% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $416M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $452.38 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $339.29, suggesting the stock is currently 170% undervalued against the $125.56 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$416M
Cash & equivalents
$1.3B
Total debt
$92M
Shares outstanding
49M