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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$60.62
Intrinsic $80.82 · 25% MOS
Current price: $42.19
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Dynatrace, Inc. (DT) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 17.8% for years 1–5 and 8.9% for years 6–10, anchored to 17.8% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $530M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $80.82 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $60.62, suggesting the stock is currently 44% undervalued against the $42.19 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$530M
Cash & equivalents
$1.2B
Total debt
$164M
Shares outstanding
304M