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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$8.77
Intrinsic $11.69 · 25% MOS
Current price: $10.67
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Delcath Systems, Inc. (DCTH) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 2.0% for years 1–5 and 1.0% for years 6–10, anchored to a default 8% growth assumption, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $19M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $11.69 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $8.77, suggesting the stock is currently 18% overvalued against the $10.67 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$19M
Cash & equivalents
$89M
Total debt
$907000
Shares outstanding
36M