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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$290.38
Intrinsic $387.18 · 25% MOS
Current price: $69.41
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Traeger, Inc. (COOK) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 4.8% for years 1–5 and 2.4% for years 6–10, anchored to 4.8% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $51M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $387.18 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $290.38, suggesting the stock is currently 318% undervalued against the $69.41 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$51M
Cash & equivalents
$34M
Total debt
$25M
Shares outstanding
3M