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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$67.64
Intrinsic $90.19 · 25% MOS
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Carnival Corp Ltd. (CCL) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 44.1% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $3.0B in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $90.19 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $67.64.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$3.0B
Cash & equivalents
$1.4B
Total debt
$26.6B
Shares outstanding
1.4B