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Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. ( Axalta, the Company, we, our and us ), a Bermuda exempted holding company incorporated in 2012, is a leading global manufacturer, marketer and distributor of high-performance coatings systems and products. We have over a 150-year heritage in the coatings industry and are known for manufacturing high-quality products with well-recognized brands supported by market-l…
$32.34
$0.54 (-1.64%)
EOD Jul 17, 2026
14.36% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 10.15%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.
Revenue declined 3.0% YoY. The question is whether this is cyclical or a structural shift.
Net debt of $2.71B represents 6.0x FCF, leverage limits flexibility.
18.9x earnings, 14.2x FCF. Valuation is in a reasonable range. The main question is whether the business can re-accelerate or if current trajectory is already priced in.
Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares
Profitability & Returns
Revenue (TTM)
$5.11B
▼ -3.0% YoY
Net Income (TTM)
$369M
▼ -3.3% YoY
Op. Margin
13.80%
▲ +1.0pp YoY
ROIC
9.78%
▼ -0.9pp YoY
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
FCF (TTM)
$488M
▲ +3.9% YoY
Op. Cash Flow (TTM)
$691M
▲ +12.7% YoY
Net Debt
$2.54B
Cash & Equiv.
$608M
5Y CAGR: +6.5%
5Y CAGR: +1.2%
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At a P/E of 18.9 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 14.2, Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $28.04 per share, so at $32.34 the stock looks overvalued (13.3% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.
On quality, Axalta Coating Systems scores 67/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a solid business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $28.04 per share for AXTA, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $21.03. At today's $32.34, that puts the stock about 13.3% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.
Axalta Coating Systems scores 67 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a solid business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 13.8% operating margin and a 9.8% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.
That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. AXTA currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 67/100 on quality (solid). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.