Intrinsiqq
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. logoAxalta Coating Systems Ltd.AXTA
$34.98+3.64%
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. logo

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.

AXTA

$34.98

+$1.23 (+3.64%)

⊜ Compare
ProfitabilitySolid marginsGrowthDecliningCash FlowHealthy conversionValuationFairly valued
What stands out

14.36% operating margin is respectable but not wide. ROIC at 10.15%. Suggests the business covers its cost of capital, but doesn't point to a wide moat.

What's changing

Revenue declined 3.0% YoY. The question is whether this is cyclical or a structural shift.

What deserves caution

Net debt of $2.71B represents 6.0x FCF, leverage limits flexibility.

Valuation context

20.5x earnings, 15.3x FCF. Valuation is in a reasonable range. The main question is whether the business can re-accelerate or if current trajectory is already priced in.

Price History

+20.6%

Valuation & Multiples

Based on TTM earnings · Diluted shares

Market Cap$7.49B
EPS$1.71
P/E20.46
P/FCF15.34
EV/EBITDA10.49
FCF Yield6.5%
Div. Yield—
Net Debt/FCF5.2x
52-Week Range
$25.44$38.19

Profitability & Returns

Revenue (TTM)

$5.11B

▼ -3.0% YoY

Net Income (TTM)

$369M

▼ -3.3% YoY

Op. Margin

13.80%

▲ +1.0pp YoY

ROIC

9.79%

▼ -0.9pp YoY

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

FCF (TTM)

$488M

▲ +3.9% YoY

Op. Cash Flow (TTM)

$691M

▲ +12.7% YoY

Net Debt

$2.54B

Cash & Equiv.

$608M

5Y CAGR: +6.5%

5Y CAGR: +1.2%

Continue Research

SourceComputed from the 10-Q filed 30 Apr 2026, covering the period ending 31 Mar 2026, as reported to the SEC. Data last refreshed 30 Jul 2026. How this is calculated.

Price from market data, last close as of 21 Oct 2026. Fiscal year ends Dec. Sector medians are approximate S&P 500 benchmarks and update periodically.

Is Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) overvalued?

At a P/E of 20.5 and a price-to-free-cash-flow of 15.3, Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) trades above a two-stage DCF intrinsic value of about $28.04 per share, so at $34.98 the stock looks overvalued (19.8% above estimated intrinsic value). A high multiple is not the same as overvalued: fast-growing, high-quality businesses can deserve a premium. See the general approach in how to tell if a stock is overvalued.

On quality, Axalta Coating Systems scores 66/100 on Intrinsiqq's quality scorecard (a solid business on these measures), weighing growth, margins, returns on capital, share count, and balance-sheet strength. All figures are computed from SEC filings; read the full methodology, or see how the market compares in our US profitability statistics. This is analysis, not investment advice.

Frequently asked

What is Axalta Coating Systems's fair value?+

Intrinsiqq's two-stage DCF estimates an intrinsic value of about $28.04 per share for AXTA, projecting its recent free cash flow forward with a growth rate that fades toward a long-run rate and discounting it back to today. Applying a 25% margin of safety gives a more conservative fair-value entry around $21.03. At today's $34.98, that puts the stock about 19.8% above estimated intrinsic value. The result is sensitive to the growth and discount-rate inputs, so it is best to run conservative, base and optimistic cases. You can adjust all of them yourself with the sliders on the DCF tab.

Is Axalta Coating Systems a high-quality business?+

Axalta Coating Systems scores 66 out of 100 on Intrinsiqq's quality score, a weighted blend of 8 metrics each scored 0 to 100, which makes it a solid business on these measures. Recent fundamentals include a 13.8% operating margin and a 9.8% return on invested capital. The score weighs revenue and free-cash-flow growth, operating margins, return on invested capital, share-count change, and balance-sheet strength, all computed from SEC filings, not opinion. Because valuation only means something relative to quality, the full metric-by-metric breakdown is on the quality scorecard.

Is Axalta Coating Systems a good stock to buy right now?+

That depends on valuation and quality together, not either alone. AXTA currently trades above its estimated intrinsic value and scores 66/100 on quality (solid). A cheap price is only a bargain if the business is durable, and a premium can be justified by genuine quality, so the two questions, "is it cheap?" and "is it good?", only make sense side by side. Read the valuation against the quality scorecard, run the DCF on your own assumptions, and decide for yourself. This is analysis from SEC filings, not investment advice.

Related stocks: Paints, Varnishes, Lacquers, Enamels & Allied Prods

Spot a number that looks wrong? Check it in AXTA's SEC filings or

Download this analysis as a PDF (Pro)

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.

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Intrinsiqq is a Netherlands-based company operating in Rotterdam, KvK 73238007.