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DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
$6.33
Intrinsic $8.44 · 25% MOS
Current price: $20.12
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Artivion, Inc. (AORT) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 17.1% for years 1–5 and 8.6% for years 6–10, anchored to 17.1% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from $15M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of $8.44 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of $6.33, suggesting the stock is currently 69% overvalued against the $20.12 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
$15M
Cash & equivalents
$56M
Total debt
$258M
Shares outstanding
50M