Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and third-party price providers. Scores, valuations, and metrics are algorithmic estimates. This is not investment advice. See our Terms and Methodology.
DCF Valuation
Base-case fair value
€63.58
Intrinsic €84.77 · 25% MOS
Current price: €23.50
Base-case summary
Our base-case DCF for Aedas Homes, S.A. (AEDAS.XMAD) projects 10 years of free cash flow growth at 20.0% for years 1–5 and 10.0% for years 6–10, anchored to 62.5% historical FCF growth, then applies a 2.5% perpetual growth rate and a 8.0% discount rate. Starting from €80M in trailing free cash flow, this produces an intrinsic value of €84.77 per share. A 25% safety margin gives a fair value of €63.58, suggesting the stock is currently 171% undervalued against the €23.50 market price.
See 3 scenarios side by side
Conservative, Base, and Optimistic fair values, plus the sensitivity matrix and FCF history. Free account.
Model inputs
TTM Free Cash Flow
€80M
Cash & equivalents
€346M
Total debt
€660M
Shares outstanding
44M